El Niño ya está aquí y va a empeorar
The long predicted Super El Niño has officially arrived, and not many folks seem all that interested.
But they will be interested very soon (see below)
Drought | Flood | Heat
The European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts suggests this Super El Nino will be the strongest ever measured
New England is experiencing a serious heat wave already, with high temps topping 95°F in Boston even before summer is official. The intense heatwaves in Western Europe continue, especially in the UK. The global system that monitors of sea level rise in real time is being cut by the Trump administration: this is the three monkeys approach to denial. 2025 wildfires were the costliest ever globally. ANTARCTICA west coast missing an area of sea ice the size of France as crazy heat persists way down under. Driven by warming seas, red algae is invading the coast of Brittany.
Driven by warming oceans, red algae on Brittany coast comes “way early.”
Large quantities of red algae have washed up on beaches in Brittany far earlier than usual this year, a phenomenon local officials say is linked to rising temperatures and warmer spring weather. While they traditionally take place around the height of summer – often as late as October – these “blooms” (as they are called) increasingly appear in May and June as spring temperatures rise sooner on the heating planet.
Like green algae, red algae present a health risk when large accumulations begin to decompose during periods of hot weather. Some harmful algal blooms produce toxins that cause stomach pain, skin irritation, headaches and respiratory problems. They also release Hydrogen Sulfide (H2S) gas, a poison and sometimes lethal gas. Jogger Death By Algae: The 2026 event occurs ten years after a jogger died on the Breton coast from inhaling the gas.
In addition to the warming waters that accelerate algae growth, pollution from large scale pig farms in Brittany contribute to the problem
Globally, algae and toxic seaweed incursions are fouling coastlines around the planet, including Florida, Australia, the Pacific Islands and the extended western coast of Europe. READ MORE
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Climate impact on kelp forests seriously under estimated
Even if you aren’t exactly sure what a kelp forest is, the reality for these spectacular undersea ecosystems is dire. New research from the University of Victoria has found that the kelp forests around Vancouver Island were disappearing far earlier than scientists previously thought, highlighting that climate change has been altering these undersea ecosystems long before most people were aware anything was wrong.
SERIOUS CONSEQUENCES: Kelp forests are often called the “rainforests of the sea.” providing habitat for thousands of marine species, supporting fisheries, absorbing carbon, and reducing coastal erosion. Estimates suggest that 40–60% of kelp forests have been degraded or lost over the past 50 years, due to ocean warming and marine heatwaves, increasingly violent weather and pollution/ nutrient runoff.
Florida Orange juice is not just for breakfast anymore . . . or anything else
The Anita Bryant homophobic episodes of the 70’s is nothing compared to the existential crisis facing the collapsing Florida orange industry. The decline of Florida orange juice is one of the most dramatic agricultural crashes in modern history. Florida was once the world’s leading producer of orange juice, but production has fallen by roughly 90–95% since its peak in the late 1990s and early 2000s. The cause is a perfect storm of disease, violent weather and developers, with an underpinning of global warming exacerbating the catastrophe.
Weather chaos in Switzerland
A violent storm hit southern Ticino. Switzerland in early June as hailstones up to 3 inches in diameter damaged roofs, cars and fields. The storm set a new precipitation record for the southern slope of the Alps Within a few minutes, southern Ticino was transformed into a white landscape on Tuesday evening. A particularly heavy thunderstorm cell moved over the Mendrisiotto at around 9.30 pm, bringing torrential rain, strong gusts of wind and unusually large hailstones.
The Super El Niño: What to expect
El Niño has officially begun, and it is forecast to intensify into a very strong or “Super” El Niño with major shifts in global weather patterns and an even hotter climate, according to a new report released Thursday morning by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
New predictions from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) indicate sea surface temperatures in the central equatorial Pacific Ocean will climb 5.47.2° F (3 degrees Celsius) above average by December 2026. The scariest predict a spike above 7.2° F (4 C).
El Niño is a periodic weather pattern in the tropical Pacific Ocean that alters winds and features unusually hot waters in the central and eastern Pacific. These changes in winds and ocean temperatures have knock-on effects on weather patterns worldwide.
NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center is giving this El Niño a 63% chance of becoming a “very strong” event (a Super El Niño) and one of the “largest El Niño events in the historical record. The Center is giving 100% odds of El Niño continuing through the fall and extremely high odds continuing into the winter.
WHAT WILL HAPPEN: Super El Niños transfer large amounts of heat from the ocean to the atmosphere, which is highly likely to mean another record setting year will follow in terms of global heat.
Effects to expect: Increase in heat waves | increased wildfire risk | greater stress on agriculture | extreme rainfall and flooding | increased drought especially in Australia, Indonesia, South Africa and rainforests | marine ecosystem disruption and extensive coral bleaching.
BC’s repeating Glacial Lake Outbursts reflect a growing global threat
For the third year in a row, evacuations have begun near the Place Glacier in Pemberton, British Colombia due to an imminent threat of a glacial lake outburst flood. Monitoring equipment shows that a lake near Place Glacier that saw outbursts in 2024 and 2025 is at risk of causing flooding again. The depth of the lake has reached the same level that it did when a previous outburst happened in 2025 — 80 ft. Scientists expect that the annual outbursts will occur until the glacier has completely receded.
GLOF events are increasing rapidly in Alpine regions around the world, threatening downstream villages and infrastructure. More on GLOF’s here.
Mumbai: When water crisis meets greed
Imagine a city of 20,000,000 that must depend on a massive fleet of private tankers trucks to supply water for the population. The tanker companies extract ground water from rapidly dwindling aquifers, often illegally. There are 500 water tanker owners and 2100 water tankers that operate in Mumbai.
Mumbai – the largest city in India – is facing a new escalation of its ongoing water supply crisis. While the Mumbai Water Tanker Association has backed off it’s strike after two days, the situation remains untenable in the extreme. The tanker companies were protesting the implementation of regulations that cut their legal rights to extract groundwater by about 10%. Those regulations were put in place because lakes and reservoirs are no longer able to meet demand. To make the situation worse, the amount of water extracted illegally from the rapidly dwindling aquifers is unknown.
The global water crisis is manifesting in more locations around the planet, with very little attention from national media. Current emergencies many decades in the making are the Ogallala Aquifer, the entire southwest, and a looming disaster in Corpus Christi (named for the body of our deceased lord and savior – fun stuff).
