
Siberian methane emissions have doubled in a decade: new UK research
Methane emissions from Siberia have more than doubled over the past decade, according to new research co-led by scientists at the University of Edinburgh’s National Centre for Earth Observation (NCEO). The international research team, including NCEO scientists based at the University of Edinburgh, analyzed satellite and atmospheric data spanning 2010 to 2023. They found that methane emissions across Siberia have been rising by around 5% per year, with emissions during the summer growing season now more than twice as high as in 2010.
This alarming report was released August 2026. Much of this RCC article is taken from that source. While the science is complex, the cause is not that complex: permafrost is thawing rapidly, releasing CH4 that had been trapped for millennia.
In western Siberia, warmer and wetter conditions are boosting methane production in wetlands
In eastern Siberia, hotter and drier conditions are fueling wildfires, which release methane and further destabilize the tundra ecosphere.
Ignored by almost all corporate media, CH4 is a far more potent greenhouse gas than CO2
The focus on CO2 as the primary greenhouse gas is accurate as far as it goes. But as far as major threats to the future of the planet, the methane molecule represents additional unknown factor contributing to the speed of warming. While misinformation specialists can make CO2 sound benign or even beneficial, applying that argument to methane is far less credible. Methane blows up. Methane is a particularly potent greenhouse gas, trapping significantly more heat than carbon dioxide over short time periods and is an emerging major contributor to global warming flying under the radar.


It’s not just Siberia: Global methane levels are still surging
Methane has always occurred naturally, but human-caused sources have increased exponentially. One of the surprising origins are wetlands, which are now producing
Atmospheric methane reached about 1,936.6 parts per billion (ppb) in 2025, roughly 2.66 times its preindustrial concentration. NOAA researchers report that methane growth averaged about 7.8 ppb/year during 2023–2025, compared with an extraordinary 15.2 ppb/year during 2020–2022.
“While misinformation specialists can make CO2 sound benign or even beneficial, applying that argument to
methane is trickier. Because Methane blows up.”


A relentless feedback loop: As Arctic permafrost thaw accelerates, more CH4 is released into the atmosphere, which warms the planet further, which melts more permafrost, etc. etc.
Casual followers of climate collapse science are familiar with feedbacks such as albedo and wildfire cycles, but the permafrost collapse sequence is not obvious until your hear it. Then you can’t unhear it.
Scientists are not yet certain how damaging this cycle could become, but it raises the risk of long-term change. Over time, the Arctic could shift from storing carbon in frozen ground to releasing increasing amounts into the atmosphere.
Don’t get “total accumulation” and rate of increase” confused.
This is how they do it: Atmospheric methane reached about 1,936.6 parts per billion (ppb) in 2025, roughly 2.66 times its preindustrial concentration. NOAA researchers report that methane growth averaged about 7.8 ppb/year during 2023–2025, compared with an extraordinary 15.2 ppb/year during 2020–2022. The misinformation gang characterizes this as good news: the quantity of methane spewed into the atmosphere the past few years has declined (temporarily). The quantity of methane that has accumulated continues to rise. There is more each year. End of story.
It’s not science fiction if it’s real. We don’t know how much methane is down there, or what else is lurking
Scientists estimate that permafrost buried beneath the Arctic Ocean holds 60 billion tons of methane and 560 billion tons of organic carbon — making it a major source of greenhouse gases that is not currently included in climate projections. Methane has caused around 30% of all human-caused global warming since the Industrial Revolution. Most methane emissions come from human activity – including from the fossil fuel industry, landfill sites and agriculture. However, 40% of methane emissions are from natural sources but with a big caveat: Wetlands have become the world’s largest natural source of methane emissions with alarming increases reported in the past few years. The reason is that these ecosystems give off more carbon dioxide and methane as they heat up, accelerating decomposition.

Additional Rapid Climate Change Articles
Previous stories on methane and permafrost.

















